There is good news and bad news about the future of U.S. interest rates. The Fed Funds rate now sits at a 4.50% to 4.75% range. The CME FedWatch Tool shows a […]
The Fed’s Rate Cut Case Looks Even Less Aggressive for 2025
Bad News About Future Rate Cuts…
I promised myself I was not going to write about interest rate cuts on the day of FOMC meetings. No one can make a living writing about interest rate cuts (or hikes) […]
Why Rising Long-Term Treasury Yields Look So Scary This Time Around
The Federal Reserve’s FOMC finally got around to cutting interest rates by 50 basis points in September. It is, or was, supposed to be the first of multiple interest rate cuts. Now […]
The Fed’s Other Inflation Worry — International Prices Effect on U.S. Inflation
The Federal Reserve’s dual mandate is to foster full employment and price stability in the United States. The Fed has a 2.0% to 2.5% target for inflation. Sure, 2% and under would […]
How Markets Are Looking Into 2025 As Rate Cuts Take Hold
Now we all know that the Federal Reserve has finally kicked off its campaign to lower interest rates. Being able to see exactly what is going to happen in financial markets in […]
Immediate FOMC Rate Cut Dilemma: Market Indicators Over Recession Odds
The Federal Reserve is about to embark on an interest rate cutting campaign. Finally! After 11 interest rate hikes, the Fed Funds rate has remained at the same 5.25% to 5.50% range […]
What Actually Triggers Emergency Fed Rate Cuts
The Federal Reserve’s Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) controls short-term rates via Fed Funds. The financial markets are usually more in control of intermediate-term and long-term rates. With some fresh media reports […]
Rate Cuts Coming Soon… But Not Recession-Sized Cuts?
Tactical Bulls has maintained for months that the Federal Reserve’s interest rate stance of “higher for longer” is simply a delay rather than a change. The next directional 100 basis point move […]