When the economy gets spooked and when stocks get battered, the classic trade that is seen in where interest fall as investors buy up more bonds for safety. This week’s massive drop […]
The Upside of Panic: Fed Rate Cuts Galore Now Expected!
Weak Market, Silver Lining: Interest Rate Cuts Are Back on the Table
It is no secret that the stock market has lost some of its luster in 2025. Economic reports are coming in slower than had been expected. Corporate earnings and guidance are also […]
U.S. Now Carrying Entire World Bond Markets
The U.S. Federal Reserve and the U.S. Treasury are currently in a major bind over interest rates. The Treasury is now spending over $1.1 billion per year in interest alone as debt […]
Relative Mortgage Rates Keep Blocking Your Next Move
Everyone already knows that high interest rates are currently making housing affordability an impossibility for many new buyers. The main aspect about high rates, particularly when they are persistent and staying higher, […]
The Nasty 2025 Market Surprise: Possibility of Only 1 More Rate Cut! (or Even None?)
2024 was a great year for stocks. That said, even with a 23% annual gain in the S&P 500, year-end performance was not very good. That expected Santa Rally morphed into a […]
The Fed’s Rate Cut Case Looks Even Less Aggressive for 2025
There is good news and bad news about the future of U.S. interest rates. The Fed Funds rate now sits at a 4.50% to 4.75% range. The CME FedWatch Tool shows a […]
Would 4.5% to 5.0% Long-Term Treasury Yields Crush Stocks?
The Federal Reserve’s FOMC has now cut interest rates twice in the last sixty days and the Fed Funds target rate is 4.50% to 4.75%. This is supposed to be good news […]
Bad News About Future Rate Cuts…
I promised myself I was not going to write about interest rate cuts on the day of FOMC meetings. No one can make a living writing about interest rate cuts (or hikes) […]
Massive Financial Market Reactions as Trump Beats Harris/Biden
As investors awake on Wednesday morning, the financial markets were surging as Donald Trump has been projected by all major media outlets to win the 2024 Presidential election in a monumental victory […]
BofA’s $3,000 Not-Scary-Enough Gold Scenario: Safer Than Treasuries?
Gold is going to $3,000 per ounce. That has been the stance of Tactical Bulls and its founder for some time. There is of course no guarantee about $3,000 gold. Zero. And […]
Spoiler Alert: U.S. Treasury Yields Still Too High vs. R.O.W.
The U.S. Federal Reserve has finally begun its interest rate cutting cycle. The 50 basis-point cut to the Fed Funds rate does of course help businesses and borrowers alike. That cut was […]
How Markets Are Looking Into 2025 As Rate Cuts Take Hold
Now we all know that the Federal Reserve has finally kicked off its campaign to lower interest rates. Being able to see exactly what is going to happen in financial markets in […]
Your 4% Treasury Bond Window is Closing Fast: Debt, Rate Cuts, Dividends, Deficits
You can still earn more than 4% purchasing a 30-year Treasury. This may sound paltry compared to the 2024 high of 4.75%, or even more paltry than the 5.10% peak in 2023. […]
Why Tactical Investors Should Focus on Long-Term Bonds
Most tactical investors may consider that stocks are always better than bonds. After all, gains in NVIDIA, Meta, Apple, and others have been hard to compete with over time. “Always” is a […]