When Wall Street is making big bullish forecasts, it can indicate that it’s time to be defensive. That’s not a call to dump stocks and go all-in on the risk-off trade, but […]
Tactical Defense: Much Stronger Gold & Silver Prices in Years Ahead
Tactical Trading: The Painful Risk-Off Trade Continues to Win, For Now…
It was just last week that meme stocks, AI, quantum computing and other leading future-tech crazes were all the rage. Zoom forward a few days and there has been a rotation into […]
Weekend Review: Are Banks Entering Their Next Tactical Golden Age?
If investors were only tuned into the major media during 2025, then it was very easy for them to miss out on a massive recovery rally that actually took the S&P 500 […]
The March to $4,000 Gold Relies Upon Central Banks, Investors, ETFs
Gold has proven itself over and over to be the world’s true reserve asset. Bitcoin has also surged in value, and even risen drastically more than gold over the last decade, but […]
Identifying the Three Types of Bear Markets – It Matters Which Type!
The classical definition of a bear market is where the broad stock market indexes sell off by 20% or more from their highs. Most investors are not happy during a bear market […]
After Trump-Musk Breakup: How Wall Street Sees Tesla Now (And Musk’s Competitors Too!)
Thursday’s ultimate meltdown of relations between Elon Musk and President Donald Trump was both unusual and historic. This development also comes with countless ramifications, perhaps too many to ponder in a single […]
U.S. Faces Bone-Crushing Yield Spreads Versus Other Top Nations
Moody’s brought a lot of serious points up when it downgraded the credit ratings of the United States. Now the U.S. has no ‘AAA’ credit ratings from any of the three major […]
Reality Check: Was Moody’s USA Rating Downgrade Really All That Shocking?
The last weekend brought some horrific news that Moody’s was downgrading the United States credit ratings to ‘Aa1’ from ‘Aaa.’ The entire weekend’s financial news and political news narratives switched entirely to […]
Why JPMorgan Just Upgraded Emerging Market Stocks (After Moody’s U.S. Downgrade)
We now all know that the United States lost its final ‘AAA’ rating after Moody’s downgraded the sovereign rating to ‘Aa1.’ The move has been “on the verge” with warnings for […]
Recession Flip-Flop: Now Goldman Sachs Sees S&P 500 Rising Even Higher Over 2025/26
It wasn’t all that long ago when major brokerage firms were throwing in their 2025 upside projections for the stock market. After originally calling for 10% upside this year, the tariff-induced panic […]
And the Biggest Mega-Cap Trade Winners in a U.S./China Tariff Deal Are…
The financial markets were not counting on a U.S.-China trade deal being reached over the weekend. Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent has already said that this trade agreement, which the details are still […]
About That Negative GDP, and About That 2025 Recession….
The U.S. economy has entered into negative territory on GDP for the first quarter of 2025. That’s not good, and it worse than what was expected. It would be naive to ignore […]
Actual 2025 Performance of All Major Markets Feels Worse Than It Looks
It has been a rough 2025 for U.S. investors. The last full week of April saw a cheerful 4.6% gain for the week in the S&P 500, but that top stock index […]
How the Wealthy Might Prevent a Recession
The media keeps insisting that the U.S. on the verge of a recession. The warnings are harsh, but they may be overlooking the most obvious point that roughly 70% of GDP is […]
Fund Managers Take Aim at U.S. Exceptionalism & Exit U.S. Investments
BofA Securities has released its Global Fund Manager Survey for April 2025. Despite the recent recovery in stocks, the data looks rather negative even as some investors are hoping that the bounce […]
Analysts Issue Stern Tariff & Recession Downgrades, Some Upgrades Too!
The stock market has been falling for several weeks, but nothing like what was seen last week. The carnage of tariffs immediately turning into a trade war with much higher recession risks […]
Why Bitcoin Is Finally Proving Itself as a Standalone Asset Class
Bitcoin is sometimes hard to describe outside of simply being a digital asset and alternative asset at the same time. And explaining its wild price gyrations, particularly on weekends and in the […]
How Goldman Sachs Forecasts Inflationary & GDP Impact from Tariffs
OK, so by now we are all feeling the pain that the tariffs have turned into a trade war and the risks of recession have moved from a possibility into a real […]
Tariffs, Trade War, Recession: Big U.S. Industrials Hit the Hardest
The pain from tariffs, trade wars and expectations of a sudden recession has been undeniable. Interest rates have come sharply lower as stock prices have been gutted. Significantly higher prices from tariffs […]
The Upside of Panic: Fed Rate Cuts Galore Now Expected!
When the economy gets spooked and when stocks get battered, the classic trade that is seen in where interest fall as investors buy up more bonds for safety. This week’s massive drop […]