There is good news and bad news about the future of U.S. interest rates. The Fed Funds rate now sits at a 4.50% to 4.75% range. The CME FedWatch Tool shows a […]
The Fed’s Rate Cut Case Looks Even Less Aggressive for 2025
Did China Signal a Tactical Bottom in Gold?
Gold has been quite volatile in 2024. The reality is that a lot of the bullish stance for gold was interrupted over the last 45 to 60 days. U.S. growth and interest […]
How All Markets/Sectors/ETFs Look 1 Month After the Election
Tactical Bulls has been tracking the broad equity market gains since election day. While some gains have been more than impressive, the reality is that the gains are far from universal. Some […]
Forget About $100K — Bitcoin ETFs Are Crushing Gold ETFs!
There is a lot more attention on bitcoin now that it is so close to challenging the $100,000 price barrier. There is a reason to say that the $100K price barrier may […]
How Tariffs Are Impacting Major Companies So Far
We have all heard by now that tariffs are coming more than once or twice. Donald Trump has maintained that he wants to install more tariffs during his campaign and after the […]
How Amazon, Walmart & Costco Are Dominating Incremental Retail Sales
There are monopolies and there are oligarchies. The United States may not have a monopoly in retail, but there sure seems to be an oligarchy for the “haves” crushing the “have-nots.” Imagine […]
10 Drivers Taking Bitcoin to $100,000… And Then…
The Bitcoin bull market is in full swing and the digital asset has nearly hit $100,000 (it just broke $97,500 for the first time). Bitcoin was already having high hopes in 2024, […]
Would 4.5% to 5.0% Long-Term Treasury Yields Crush Stocks?
The Federal Reserve’s FOMC has now cut interest rates twice in the last sixty days and the Fed Funds target rate is 4.50% to 4.75%. This is supposed to be good news […]
How Goldman Sachs Sees the Trump-Effect in Stocks and Tariffs
The 2024 election is now finally over. Donald Trump will be the next President of the United States and it appears that the Republican party will have control of both houses in […]
Bad News About Future Rate Cuts…
I promised myself I was not going to write about interest rate cuts on the day of FOMC meetings. No one can make a living writing about interest rate cuts (or hikes) […]
Massive Financial Market Reactions as Trump Beats Harris/Biden
As investors awake on Wednesday morning, the financial markets were surging as Donald Trump has been projected by all major media outlets to win the 2024 Presidential election in a monumental victory […]
The Top 20 Nations Owning the Most Treasury Debt
As the U.S. Presidential, Congressional and local elections unfold, many people are on edge. Even the people who claim not to care whoever wins in any of the races are probably worried […]
Why Rising Long-Term Treasury Yields Look So Scary This Time Around
The Federal Reserve’s FOMC finally got around to cutting interest rates by 50 basis points in September. It is, or was, supposed to be the first of multiple interest rate cuts. Now […]
It’s Almost a Housing Recession, But…
You keep hearing the financial media talk about the next recession and the ongoing uncertainty. Most of us agree that a series of rolling recessions have been seen in various sectors over […]
Long-Term AI Spending Growth to Trump Data Center Spending Growth
As each year starts to wind down there are always forecasts about what to expect in the coming year. 2024 has been all about generative-AI in the IT world. That GenAI spending […]
BofA’s $3,000 Not-Scary-Enough Gold Scenario: Safer Than Treasuries?
Gold is going to $3,000 per ounce. That has been the stance of Tactical Bulls and its founder for some time. There is of course no guarantee about $3,000 gold. Zero. And […]
Government Budget Woes: Runaway Spending vs. “Fair Share” in Taxes
You have probably heard it before that the United States government has a massive spending problem. You have also probably heard countless times that the wealthy need to “pay their fair share” […]
The Fed’s Other Inflation Worry — International Prices Effect on U.S. Inflation
The Federal Reserve’s dual mandate is to foster full employment and price stability in the United States. The Fed has a 2.0% to 2.5% target for inflation. Sure, 2% and under would […]
As 10-Year & 30-Year Treasuries Back Up Over 4%… Time for Fear or Greed?
Something odd is happened in the bond market. The yield on the 10-Year Treasury note went back up over 4.00%. It may not last long, but it is rather peculiar. The Federal […]
What the Port Strikes Will Cost You
The International Longshoremen’s Association (ILA), the largest union of maritime workers in North America, is on the verge of a major strike as it negotiates a new Master Contract Agreement with the […]