Moody’s brought a lot of serious points up when it downgraded the credit ratings of the United States. Now the U.S. has no ‘AAA’ credit ratings from any of the three major […]
U.S. Faces Bone-Crushing Yield Spreads Versus Other Top Nations
Reality Check: Was Moody’s USA Rating Downgrade Really All That Shocking?
The last weekend brought some horrific news that Moody’s was downgrading the United States credit ratings to ‘Aa1’ from ‘Aaa.’ The entire weekend’s financial news and political news narratives switched entirely to […]
Why JPMorgan Just Upgraded Emerging Market Stocks (After Moody’s U.S. Downgrade)
We now all know that the United States lost its final ‘AAA’ rating after Moody’s downgraded the sovereign rating to ‘Aa1.’ The move has been “on the verge” with warnings for […]
Recession Flip-Flop: Now Goldman Sachs Sees S&P 500 Rising Even Higher Over 2025/26
It wasn’t all that long ago when major brokerage firms were throwing in their 2025 upside projections for the stock market. After originally calling for 10% upside this year, the tariff-induced panic […]
And the Biggest Mega-Cap Trade Winners in a U.S./China Tariff Deal Are…
The financial markets were not counting on a U.S.-China trade deal being reached over the weekend. Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent has already said that this trade agreement, which the details are still […]
About That Negative GDP, and About That 2025 Recession….
The U.S. economy has entered into negative territory on GDP for the first quarter of 2025. That’s not good, and it worse than what was expected. It would be naive to ignore […]
Actual 2025 Performance of All Major Markets Feels Worse Than It Looks
It has been a rough 2025 for U.S. investors. The last full week of April saw a cheerful 4.6% gain for the week in the S&P 500, but that top stock index […]
How the Wealthy Might Prevent a Recession
The media keeps insisting that the U.S. on the verge of a recession. The warnings are harsh, but they may be overlooking the most obvious point that roughly 70% of GDP is […]
Fund Managers Take Aim at U.S. Exceptionalism & Exit U.S. Investments
BofA Securities has released its Global Fund Manager Survey for April 2025. Despite the recent recovery in stocks, the data looks rather negative even as some investors are hoping that the bounce […]
Analysts Issue Stern Tariff & Recession Downgrades, Some Upgrades Too!
The stock market has been falling for several weeks, but nothing like what was seen last week. The carnage of tariffs immediately turning into a trade war with much higher recession risks […]
Why Bitcoin Is Finally Proving Itself as a Standalone Asset Class
Bitcoin is sometimes hard to describe outside of simply being a digital asset and alternative asset at the same time. And explaining its wild price gyrations, particularly on weekends and in the […]
How Goldman Sachs Forecasts Inflationary & GDP Impact from Tariffs
OK, so by now we are all feeling the pain that the tariffs have turned into a trade war and the risks of recession have moved from a possibility into a real […]
Tariffs, Trade War, Recession: Big U.S. Industrials Hit the Hardest
The pain from tariffs, trade wars and expectations of a sudden recession has been undeniable. Interest rates have come sharply lower as stock prices have been gutted. Significantly higher prices from tariffs […]
The Upside of Panic: Fed Rate Cuts Galore Now Expected!
When the economy gets spooked and when stocks get battered, the classic trade that is seen in where interest fall as investors buy up more bonds for safety. This week’s massive drop […]
Tactically Speaking: 20 Stocks Immune to the U.S. Tariffs and Trade Wars
The day of tariffs has finally arrived. Stocks around the world reacted quite negatively, not in celebration of Liberation Day, as the reciprocal tariffs were deemed to be the worst case scenario […]
Strategic Tactical Shift to European Stocks Over U.S. Stocks
Markets hate uncertainty. And even if bull markets do “crawl up a wall of worry,” uncertainty is always a convenient excuse for a big sell-off. Now HSBC’s strategy team is upgrading European […]
Weak Market, Silver Lining: Interest Rate Cuts Are Back on the Table
It is no secret that the stock market has lost some of its luster in 2025. Economic reports are coming in slower than had been expected. Corporate earnings and guidance are also […]
When Tactical & Secular Megatrends Meet — Investing in Women
The word “megatrend” should never be ignored by investors. After all, this is where tactical investors can ride a long-term wave in hopes of profits. Secular trends can last 10 years, or […]
How Each Sector & Theme is Performing So Far in 2024
Economic worries impact the financial markets. When you throw in political risks, those economic worries may become emotionally driven as well. And as 2025 is now more than two months in, the […]
Total L.A. Wildfire Costs Keep Rising (It’s a National Problem!)
The 2025 wildfires that were seen in and around the greater Los Angeles area were unlike other natural disasters. Some areas were literally wiped off the map. And some structures, even in […]