Economic worries impact the financial markets. When you throw in political risks, those economic worries may become emotionally driven as well. And as 2025 is now more than two months in, the stock market and the economic readings are reflecting some of the fears.
Tactical Bulls maintains a list of ETF winners and losers for investors to see how each sector and investing theme is performing on a real-time basis. This uses screening and automation, and each gain or loss is rounded to the closest one-tenth of a percent.
At the end of 2024, almost every market strategist was calling for the S&P 500 to rise 10% or so in 2024. There have been no significant updates to those broad market calls as of yet, but now is a time to consider whether the previous “Trump Bump” after the election will come with the “Trump Put” as tariffs and weaker economic readings are weighing on the market.
The S&P 500 is currently showing a performance in the red at -1.6% and the NASDAQ-100 is also in the red at -3.0% year-to-date (YTD).
MAJOR INDEX ETFs:
$QQQ -3.0% (NASDAQ-100)
$SPY -1.6% (S&P500)
$DIA +0.5% (DJIA)
$IWM -6.2% (Russell 2000)
SECTOR ETFs:
$XLC +3.9% (communications services)
$XLF +3.7% (financials)
$XLY -6.9% (consumer discretionary)
$XLK -5.8% (tech/IT)
$XLU +2.7% (utilities)
$XLI +1.0% (industrials)
$KRE -1.5% (regional banks)
$SOXX -5.2% (semiconductors)
$GDX +20.7% (gold miners)
$XHB -4.8% (homebuilders)
$XLP +4.6% (consumer staples)
$XLE +0.1% (energy)
$XLRE +6.0% (real estate)
$XLV +8.3% (health care)
$XLB -1.6% (materials)
$IBBQ +3.7% (Nasdaq biotechs – Invesco)
$IBB +2.7% (biotech – iShares)
$ITA +3.8% (Aerospace & Defense)
THEMATIC ETFs:
$ARKX -4.2% (space – Ark)
$UFO +1.0% (space)
$THNQ -0.2% (global AI)
$PKW -1.1% (buybacks)
$RSP +0.5% (S&P500 equal-weight)
$PHO +0.6% (water)
$NOBL +3.3% (dividend aristocrats)
$ROBO -0.4% (global robotics/automation)
ENERGY THEME ETFs:
$NUKZ +1.4% (nuclear renaissance)
$NLR -4.9% (Uranium nuclear energy)
$FCG -8.7% (natural gas companies)
$PBW -16.2% (clean energy)
$TAN -3.7% (solar power)
$LIT -1.3% (global lithium)
$FAN +3.6% (wind power)
$COAL -15.2% (global coal)
BOND/ALT/CRYPTO ETFs:
$JNK +0.9% (high-yield bond)
$BND +2.1% (total bond market)
$AGG +2.1% (US aggregate bonds)
$HDG +0.3% (hedge replication)
$QAI +0.5% (multi-strategy hedge)
$SLV +12.0% (silver)
$GLD +11.0% (gold)
$BITO -12.5% (Bitcoin futures)
$IBIT -4.3% (Bitcoin)